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Prop Bet – Whether a Player Will Make a Three-Pointer

If you love basketball and betting, prop bets like “whether a player will make a three-pointer” are some of the easiest and most fun wagers to track. It’s as simple as it sounds: you’re betting on whether or not a specific player will sink a three during the game. Let me walk you through it with some insight and examples.

Explanation:

This bet revolves around a player’s three-point shooting ability and their role in the team’s offense. You’ll often see this bet framed as a Yes/No option or an Over/Under (e.g., 2.5 three-pointers made). To make a smart pick, you need to consider:

• Player’s shooting stats: How often they take and make threes.

• Game script: Will the player have opportunities to shoot threes (e.g., facing a weak perimeter defense)?

• Recent performance: Are they on a hot or cold streak?

• Here’s how it might look for a few popular players:

  Player	Odds (Yes)	Odds (No)	Team	Avg 3PM/Game	Recent Performance	Key Factors	Notes
  Steph Curry	-300	+250	Warriors	4.8	Made 5+ in 4 of last 5 games	High-volume shooter, green light	Almost always a lock for at least 1 three.
  Damian Lillard	-200	+175	Bucks	3.5	Averaging 4.2 over last 5	Shoots in clutch situations	Great pick in close games.
  Jayson Tatum	-150	+125	Celtics	2.8	Hit or miss depending on matchup	Big games bring higher attempts	Better in high-scoring games.
  Giannis Antetokounmpo	+400	-500	Bucks	0.7	Rarely shoots from deep	Focused on inside scoring	Only worth betting “Yes” in rare games.

• example Breakdown:

  If I’m betting on Steph Curry to hit a three, it’s almost a no-brainer. The guy’s built his career on it. But for someone like Giannis, I’d usually avoid betting “Yes” unless it’s a special situation—like a game where he’s experimenting with his shooting.

  Now, someone like Jayson Tatum? That’s where it gets interesting. He’s capable of a big three-point game, but it depends on how the defense plays him. Against a weaker perimeter D, I’d lean towards “Yes.”

• Pro Tip: Focus on players with consistent roles as shooters, and always check the matchup stats before placing your bet. Let me know if you’d like help analyzing specific players!